Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.117264 0.130716 0.144479 0.159574 0.175626 0.192150 0.210407
2024-10-20 0.099150 0.117676 0.137339 0.159633 0.184080 0.209952 0.239283
2024-10-27 0.084661 0.106479 0.130420 0.158360 0.189800 0.223834 0.263210
2024-11-03 0.074688 0.099103 0.126712 0.159758 0.197768 0.239689 0.288996
2024-11-10 0.067899 0.094613 0.125649 0.163622 0.208119 0.257962 0.317376
2024-11-17 0.060089 0.088120 0.121603 0.163477 0.213441 0.270242 0.338808
2024-11-24 0.055133 0.084643 0.120762 0.166790 0.222550 0.286719 0.364975
2024-12-01 0.049856 0.080261 0.118413 0.167947 0.228851 0.299762 0.387082
2024-12-08 0.044610 0.075449 0.115141 0.167644 0.233138 0.310256 0.406097
2024-12-15 0.040495 0.071799 0.113062 0.168582 0.238745 0.322193 0.426739
2024-12-22 0.036147 0.067441 0.109751 0.167694 0.241896 0.331036 0.443613
2024-12-29 0.033758 0.065685 0.109748 0.170943 0.250123 0.345982 0.467788
2025-01-05 0.030542 0.062548 0.107819 0.171731 0.255419 0.357632 0.488416
2025-01-12 0.027366 0.059182 0.105358 0.171650 0.259498 0.367735 0.507172
2025-01-19 0.024116 0.055385 0.102047 0.170231 0.261714 0.375441 0.522967
2025-01-26 0.021975 0.053191 0.100896 0.171641 0.267533 0.387614 0.544251
2025-02-02 0.020705 0.052351 0.101660 0.175651 0.276753 0.404081 0.570892
2025-02-09 0.018515 0.049681 0.099522 0.175478 0.280353 0.413400 0.588667
2025-02-16 0.017362 0.048765 0.099980 0.178929 0.288769 0.428853 0.614122
2025-02-23 0.015810 0.046944 0.098923 0.180132 0.294113 0.440362 0.634661
2025-03-02 0.014086 0.044592 0.096889 0.179811 0.297317 0.449081 0.651687
2025-03-09 0.012767 0.042894 0.095796 0.180788 0.302243 0.460000 0.671493
2025-03-16 0.011228 0.040539 0.093489 0.179858 0.304469 0.467370 0.686787